https://www.talknats.com/2019/03/29/old-stuff-different-day-dave-martinez/
Wow, this is retarded
No, you did not have 6 outs to get a run because you had no idea if your pitchers would yield any more runs. Also, how did he know the pitcher’s spot would come up again? There was no guarantee of that unless at least 3 runners got on base with no doubleplays. It’s simple math because Scherzer was the last out in the 7th inning. Actually it seemed to be a low likelihood since you look at career WHIP percentages of Jeurys Familia (1.207) and Edwin Diaz (1.010).
it's actually a pretty fair guess that you're going to have to get three base runners to get 2 runs to win a game at that point. Particularly with Famlia and his career 3.64 BB/9 (Hint: He has control issues). It's also pretty fair considering that Familia has a career HR/9 of 0.41, and Diaz is under 1 and coming off a breakout season of 0.64. IN other words, the back end of the pen doesn't give up a lot of home runs, so you're probably going to have to small ball them to tie it up.
cherzer would trudge forward and clearly was fatigued as he admitted after the game but you could see it on the mound. He finished with 110 pitches but what if his final batter, Brandon Nimmo, did not strikeout on 4 pitches and became a tougher at-bat? In reality, Nimmo could have fouled off several pitches. His pitch count concluded at 110 pitches but every extra inning also includes the rigors of warm-up pitches between innings. Scherzer could not even qualify for the win since he was yanked from the game mid-inning with his team losing. At that point he could only hope for a no-decision in the best cas
What if ... what if. What if he had pulled Max after 7, pinch hit Adams for Max, and Adams had struck out against the LHP that was warming up for the Mets. Yea. Let's burn Adams there, when the Mets are ready to face him.
There was also the analytics of the game. Someone switched the batting order as you can see from the graphic above. Juan Soto was supposed to be batting 3rd and he was flip-flopped with Anthony Rendon when the official batting order was released. We can debate all day long on whether Ryan Zimmerman should have faced deGrom or the hot hitting Matt Adams who had homered in his previous 3 games.
Talks about analytics, but then tries to say Adams is hot because he homered in spring training. Oh okay, totally comparable.
But you have to look at the heart of the order. They had their chances. Both Anthony Rendon and Ryan Zimmerman came up with 2 chances each with runners-in-scoring-position and came up empty. Zimmerman smoked a low liner to 3rd base that was caught, and Rendon extended his poor hitting against deGrom with the 0-3 to a 2-26 results.
Sure, Rendon had to be in this game because there were not better options, but why was he batting 3rd against deGrom? If Juan Soto was batting 3rd against deGrom, he would have had a different set of chances you would think. With Zimmerman batting behind Soto, the wise deGrom pitched around Soto and walked him with Trea Turner on 2nd base and 2 outs.
Holy small sample size batman. Soto has three freaking ABs against deGrom. Oh okay, he's probably going to be good. *checks box score* nope. deGrom made him his nag too. Just like everyone.
And lineup protection is bullcrap. Every analytic analysis has shown this to be the case. What a crappy article. Last year it was "Harper struggled because he kept being moved in the order." Now it's, "Davey doesn't adjust the lineup enough." Holy freak what a bunch of stupidity.
