Message #2280506

[imref]

How long are we expecting a 5’10 194 pound qb to last in the nfl?

that's the multi-million dollar question. The track record isn't good, but Bryce Young was pretty freaking amazing playing in the toughest conference in the NFL and setting school records for passing yards and TDs.

Worth a read: https://www.theringer.com/nfl-draft/2023/3/3/23623742/bryce-young-height-short-nfl-combine-outlier

Since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger, 172 quarterbacks have started at least 50 games—only 11 of them were 6-foot or shorter. Among those players are Kyler Murray, Michael Vick, Russell Wilson, and Drew Brees. That’s not bad company to be in, but remember—these are the quarterbacks who hit, as they accumulated 50 or more starts over the course of their careers. If we instead look at just quarterbacks drafted since 1970, just 30 of the 522 quarterbacks selected (5.7 percent) have been 6 feet tall or shorter.

If we look at just picks in the first three rounds? Seven of 241 quarterbacks. And if we look just at Round 1? Three of 127: Vick, Murray, and Johnny Manziel.

The red dot below is Bryce Young.  Best case scenario is that he's Drew Brees, but Brees was one in a thousand.