I know baseball draft picks bust generally as a rule, but how common is it for a top-5 pick to fail to reach AA?
It's pretty rare. I went back and looked at the top 5 from draft classes from 2019 onward:
- 2019 - everyone has made the majors already
- 2020 - Asa Lacy, pitcher from the Royals who has had injury issues, is the only one not in the majors
- 2021 - 3 of the 5 are in the majors
Looking at Green's 2022 class:
1. Jackson Holliday - AAA and already has been in the majors
2. Druw Jones - currently playing at A after missing 2022 for surgery on a torn labrum, played rookie and A ball in 2023
3. Kumar Rocker - Pitched at High-A in 2023 before heading for TJ
4. Termarr Johnson - Currently at A+
5. Green
6. Jacob Berry - currently at AA
7. Cade Horton - currently at AA