Fixed. Past performance is not necessarilly indicative of future results. I'd agree that's likely that he regresses closer to where he's been the past few years, but the past few years, he hasn't had a healthy knee either...
Fair points... but, the last three years that Livo had an ERA under 4.... 2003 (3.20) 2004 (3.60) and 2005 (3.98) his BABIP's were .292, .281 and .307.
So, some regression to the past should be expected