https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/02/09/amazon-hq2-capitals-wizards-arena-virginia-alexandria/
“Questions about how to get as many as 20,000 spectators to Alexandria’s Potomac Yard area have emerged as an early sticking point. Sports fans coming south from D.C. could add 2,800 cars during peak rush hour to an already congested Route 1, according to a state-commissioned study released last week.”
Yeah, about that…
https://alexandriaecon.org/wp-content/uploads/Project-Potter-Transportation-Update_2024-02-01.pdf“Peak Travel analysis considered arena inbound traffic during the PM peak (5-6 PM) for auto traffic and post-event travel for transit use to assess “worst case” conditions.”
As a bonus of the cutting off the “peak travel” at 6 PM, everything from 6 PM and afterwards can then be considered “off peak“ for the inbound traffic, which they appear to do in the report ( e.g. page 15).
The extension of rush-hour with an unprecedented number of people coming into the area in the space of a couple of hours is precisely the issue that needs to be measured. How many fans here generally are done with their travel to the ballpark before 6 PM? One would think that that may be some working downtown or who work in the field permits them avoid traditional work hours, as well as those that don’t have to double back home, or bring other people with them. As might have been gathered through personal experience as well as watching the traditional late arrival of crowds at regional entertainment venues, because of traffic and the speed of transit, the number of people that would have their venue-focused traffic experience peaking between 4 PM to 6 PM or 5 PM to 6 PM would seem to be on the comparatively small side.
And yet, a key part of what experience and common sense would put as part of the peak – – 6 PM to 7:30 PM, running right up to and beyond the start of events – – appears to have been exercised and consign to “off-peak“, which also would have a potentially convenient lessening of impact in every numbers crunched with that as a basis. What a complete shock that the Post cited this report, but didn’t actually note the evident incongruity of the figures used.