yeah, the only reason to completely tank this year is ethan holliday in 2025, and there's no way anyone is catching the White Sox / Rockies for the #1 pick.
The lottery is a bit complex...one never knows which spot you'll get if you qualify...
This seems to be a decent recap of the rules applied for the 2024 draft:
https://www.mlb.com/news/2024-mlb-draft-lottery-odds
