I don't have quite the pessimistic view that Ken does regarding our true level, in that practically our entire starting team is playing hurt right now, hence are playing below ability.
Church, Schneider, Guillen, Castilla, Vidro, Johnson, Wilkerson, all of them have issues limiting their effectiveness. This is a better team than they are showing now. Unfortunately, I don't expect more than marginal improvement over the rest of the year in the health department. Just as Vidro and Johnson have come back, the gains are negated by the declines of Guillen and Castilla, in particular.
With our pitching staff, if we could score runs around the median, we'd be in the playoffs. Best case, Watson's presence sparks the team, sets the table for Nick, and gives needed recovery time to Guillen/Church/Wilkerson so they get better too.
Note that Vidro's seeing some pitches with Nick behind him now. But also, Nick's not seeing any pitches cause nobody's afraid of Vinnie.
So I do see reason to hope, but as time goes by our chances are diminishing. We've got to turn the corner soon. And this is NOT the right time for Livan to have a breakdown. November would be the right time.