I maintain that if it's Philly's offer that Boras comes back to Ted with to see about matching, that Ted will have a hard time with Bryce going to a division rival and will make a real effort to work something out. I don't think that will be just straight up matching, and of course deferrals are usually part of it, but I think they will try something. Now, if the Giants or Padres end up making some 10 year 325+ million dollar offer, I think they just let him walk. They obviously aren't direct competition within the division. The Giants would still be facing a totally rebuild around Harper and don't have any young talent to speak of. I don't even really understand why Harper is a big priority for them. The Padres could be maybe a year away if they add Harper, needing to let their young arms develop and add a vet or 2 to that rotation mix.
But, let Harper go to the Phillies, and your fear is he goes off and them and the Braves are kicking your butts in the NL East. Even the Mets should be improved. What if Robles struggles as a rookie or Eaton gets hurt again? Maybe Soto has a Sophomore Slump and is merely pretty good? These are fears I think that could drive the Nats to at the last hour trty and keep Harper from Philly.