Author Topic: Harper trade speculation (breakout from off-season thread)  (Read 18691 times)

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Online JCA-CrystalCity

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You would still get a very, very good return on Harper even with him being a free agent after this season.  He's going to make $21.625MM in 2018, which in an era where Bartolo Colon signed for $12MM in 2017, that's a bargain.  Look at some of the hauls teams have gotten in deadline deals for pending free agents, like the Chapman trade from the Yankees to the Cubs in 2016.  That's to rent a guy for a couple of months. 

With that said, we're trying (again) to win the World Series in 2018 and have a roster that is capable.  We aren't in a rebuild.  If we trade Harper, we aren't improving our team NOW.  In fact, we're going to severely weaken it for 2018. 
Well, I think the "sign JD and trade Bryce" group would say an OF of JD / Taylor / Eaton is probably as good offensively in 2018 as one of Harper / Taylor / Eaton.  JD has topped Bryce in wOBA 3 out of the past 4 years, including the past 2.  What kills him is the defense, which lowers his fWAR, but you could say Eaton is replacing Bryce offensively and Martinez is replacing Werth /Lind / Kendrick etc..., making the defense better than 2017.  The team acquiring him could offer him a QO if they could not extend, so you might get good prospects back, especially if they are a year + away. It starts to look less like you are weakening 2018 and instead looks like you are improving 2018 and positioning better in the long term.