Author Topic: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4  (Read 9863 times)

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Offline nfotiu

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #50: October 11, 2016, 02:42:28 PM »
That's the key point.  I don't think you play for best odds of winning the next two, you play for best odds of winning game 4 because if you don't win game 4, game 5 doesn't matter.  Pitching Kershaw gives them the best odds of winning today.  If they win today then they can worry about Thursday.   Roberts will be in Showalter's boat if he loses game 4 while his best pitcher sits on the bench.


I'll never be convinced that that argument is rational.  That's just managing with your heart and cliches.  You have go with the option that gives you the best chance to win the series or win the game, not the best chance to extend the series or extend the game and then hope for the best. 

I suppose the argument is a little more sound if you think that Kershaw is going to be just as good today as he would be on Thursday, but I don't think any of the data includes pitching on 3 days rest when he didn't play in July and August, and is still ramping up his pitch count.

Online dcpatti

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #51: October 11, 2016, 02:45:06 PM »
So was our pen. You can bet those guys will be will be available in a game like this.

They'll be available, sure, but will they be any good? Don't forget we have Lopez, Perez, Scrabble and Treinen, none of which pitched yesterday. Ollie and Scrabble obviously lefties but Lopez, a righty, might as well be a lefty--- lefties have a .192 BAA when facing Lopez, and he can eat some innings, so long as he's on a short leash. We hung 4 runs on their bullpen last night and this is all the same guys, just more tired.

It's a "fire all your bullets" night and we gots more bullets. They have one very big gun but when that's removed from the equation, we've got the advantage. .

Online imref

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #52: October 11, 2016, 03:00:16 PM »
the last time the a DC baseball team advanced in the playoffs was 1924,  it's time.

Offline RJ2kWJ

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #53: October 11, 2016, 03:01:18 PM »
So pumped!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Online mitlen

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #54: October 11, 2016, 03:09:13 PM »
MLBN talkin' a lot of Nats.     Once they get on the Cubs though, it's over.

Offline Ed Stroud

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #55: October 11, 2016, 03:09:49 PM »
  Case in point Jansen who is definitely cooked and I'd Imagine off-limits tonight, given his workload and struggles just in this series.

Can't remember the last time I was not sweating "if we don't get the lead by 8th, were toast."  Today is the day to win.

Online dcpatti

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #56: October 11, 2016, 03:10:08 PM »
MLBN talkin' a lot of Nats.     Once they get on the Cubs though, it's over.

Good  let them talk Cubs nonstop. We do better when nobody's paying attention to us.

Offline spidernat

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #57: October 11, 2016, 03:23:16 PM »
the last time the a DC baseball team advanced in the playoffs was 1924,  it's time.

That would probably better stated by saying that 1924 was the last time a DC baseball team won a postseason series.

Online mitlen

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #58: October 11, 2016, 03:28:47 PM »
Good  let them talk Cubs nonstop. We do better when nobody's paying attention to us.

It's baseball.    It's all good.

Online varoadking

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #59: October 11, 2016, 03:37:11 PM »

10/11...a magical date for the Nationals...


Offline OvechkinsWodka

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #60: October 11, 2016, 03:40:30 PM »
Key to this game is going to be getting Kershaws pitch count up early. Harper and Werth are going to get long at bats to chase out Kershaw.

Offline DPMOmaha

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #61: October 11, 2016, 03:40:37 PM »
I've been watching tickets on Stubhub go like crazy since they announced Kershaw was starting.

Online mitlen

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #62: October 11, 2016, 04:01:59 PM »
Uncle Ray's in the house.

Online mitlen

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #63: October 11, 2016, 04:08:45 PM »
Damn, Dave Roberts and Daniel Murphy sound an awful lot a like.

Offline mmzznnxx

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #64: October 11, 2016, 04:42:47 PM »
Dusty once again putting Espinosa 7th and tying our hands behind our back. If we lose the series he shouldn't even get on the plane back.

Offline OvechkinsWodka

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #65: October 11, 2016, 04:50:08 PM »
Dusty once again putting Espinosa 7th and tying our hands behind our back. If we lose the series he shouldn't even get on the plane back.

HBP or K lol

Online Slateman

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #66: October 11, 2016, 04:51:47 PM »
Is this game on any other channel? For whatever reason FS1 is all pixilated and jacked up on my Cox box

Online varoadking

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #67: October 11, 2016, 04:52:34 PM »

Melancon when asked how much he can pitch today says "I can start if they need me."

This guy is nails!

Offline natsarl

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #68: October 11, 2016, 04:54:57 PM »
Who will be the hero(es) today?  I'm predicting Zimmerman (ducks).

Online Slateman

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #69: October 11, 2016, 04:55:41 PM »
Who will be the hero(es) today?  I'm predicting Zimmerman (ducks).
Gonna go with Espinosa, just for the haters here.

Online varoadking

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #70: October 11, 2016, 04:56:44 PM »
Gonna go with Espinosa, just for the haters here.

So Rusty double switches for him before he bats for the second time?  That would make Rusty the hero...

Offline natsarl

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #71: October 11, 2016, 04:56:52 PM »
Gonna go with Espinosa, just for the haters here.

Top 8th:  Bases loaded, Espi up and gets HBP to score the go-ahead run...

Online mitlen

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #72: October 11, 2016, 04:57:40 PM »
Nimrod and crew picked the Dodgers.    Rose is the only one who picked us.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #73: October 11, 2016, 04:58:03 PM »
Ernie Pantuso Jr. And with that, I'll see you tomorrow night.

Offline skippy1999

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Re: NL Division Series: Nationals @ Dodgers, Game 4
« Reply #74: October 11, 2016, 05:00:43 PM »
Ahhhh here we go!!!!!