Author Topic: 2012/13 Offseason Discussion Thread  (Read 78778 times)

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Offline tomterp

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Re: 2012/13 Offseason Discussion Thread
« Reply #2850: December 10, 2012, 12:16:57 PM »
The third year is insurance against injury and ineffectiveness. If I had a shot at a guaranteed third year at a set price vs. the injury/aging risk, I'd hold out too.

You can't make that decision in a vacuum.  How much does the 3rd year pay?  How old is the player, does he project to fall off sharply in performance or maintain?  What will the market be like after 2 more seasons?

Sure, getting a 3rd year reduces the risk for the player, but it is completely misleading to compare the TCV of a 3 year deal to that of a 2 year deal and treat the $ difference as if the player were completely unable to have earnings year 3.