We go 4-4; the Braves go 6-2, we win the division but not before a lot of:
Depending on where you want to place endpoints, the Nats are:
4-4 in their last 8;
4-7 in their last 11;
8-8 in their last 16;
13-10 since Sept. 1.
They have to go 2-6 or worse to give the Braves a really realistic shot. If they did, they'd be under .500 since September 1 and on a .315 pace in their last 19 games. It would easily be their worst stretch of the season - they'd deserve to lose the division if they went that badly. Scary part is, it's not completely beyond the realm of possibility, considering we're going to have Lannan v. Phils twice in that stretch and the possibility of another Wang start.
Still, I ain't skeered. I think we get right up close to the edge, but don't actually fall off. This team is good. Good enough to win when they need to.