Author Topic: Can we step back from the ledge, please?  (Read 5877 times)

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Offline RobDibblesGhost

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #125: August 29, 2012, 01:08:38 PM »
Some coworkers are taking me out for lunch for my birthday and half the TVs in this place are showing the replay of last night's game. Ugh.

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #126: August 29, 2012, 01:51:09 PM »
I didn't know that there were Marlins bars here.  Or anywhere for that matter.

Offline Slateman

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #127: August 29, 2012, 07:16:42 PM »
I didn't know that there were Marlins bars here.  Or anywhere for that matter.

MDS's house is one big Marlins bar. Actually, it's really more of a shrine to Giancarlo Stanton

Offline Slateman

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #128: September 16, 2012, 09:16:49 PM »
Oh hi guys

Offline wpa2629

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #129: September 16, 2012, 09:31:30 PM »

Offline Slateman

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #130: September 16, 2012, 09:59:15 PM »
DAAAAAAAAAAAAANGA ZONE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Offline MorseMythology

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #131: September 16, 2012, 10:54:08 PM »
We're going to blow this division.

Offline Kevrock

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #132: September 16, 2012, 10:57:04 PM »

Offline PebbleBall

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #133: September 16, 2012, 11:02:40 PM »
(Image removed from quote.)


Barring an Atlanta meltdown it's hard to see how the Nats hold on. 

Offline BigMeech

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #134: September 16, 2012, 11:05:18 PM »
It's the end of the line for us, guys.  The jig is up.


Offline Kevrock

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #136: September 16, 2012, 11:06:37 PM »
Barring an Atlanta meltdown it's hard to see how the Nats hold on. 

We had won 9 out of 12 this month before this weekend. Keep flapping in the breeze.

Offline PebbleBall

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #137: September 16, 2012, 11:14:20 PM »
We had won 9 out of 12 this month before this weekend. Keep flapping in the breeze.

and 10 of those 12 were against losing teams.  The Braves have 15 games left, all against teams below .500 (because we know the Pirates will be by that point) while the Nats have 10 games against contenders and 6 against the Phillies, and it's hard to buy they'll suddenly be good against Philly.

By the way, the Braves have 9 12 division games left against Philly, Miami, and the Mets and they are 29-13 against them combined. 

I haven't been panicking, look at the schedule.  This is a serious hole. 

Offline DPMOmaha

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #138: September 16, 2012, 11:15:05 PM »
We're in a hole?

Offline houston-nat

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #139: September 16, 2012, 11:16:59 PM »
I haven't been panicking, look at the schedule.  This is a serious hole. 

Actually a 5.5 game lead isn't a hole. It's a lead.

Before tonight's game, BP and Cool Standings both gave us a 98% chance of winning the division.

Offline Kevrock

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #140: September 16, 2012, 11:17:41 PM »
and 10 of those 12 were against losing teams.  The Braves have 15 games left, all against teams below .500 (because we know the Pirates will be by that point) while the Nats have 10 games against contenders and 6 against the Phillies, and it's hard to buy they'll suddenly be good against Philly.


 :shrug:, we're better than the Braves over the course of the entire season. I'm not scared by our schedule. If we can't close out against some decent teams and win series here then we won't in the playoffs either.

Offline Hogie

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #141: September 16, 2012, 11:22:06 PM »
Gutless. Just a gutless team. Never won a big game in their lives and never will.

Offline PebbleBall

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #142: September 16, 2012, 11:25:07 PM »
:shrug:, we're better than the Braves over the course of the entire season. I'm not scared by our schedule. If we can't close out against some decent teams and win series here then we won't in the playoffs either.


They Braves have played 46 games against their remaining opponents and are 31-15.   I don't think the margin of error is what people are assuming and I don't think it's crazy to raise the red flag.

Offline PebbleBall

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #143: September 16, 2012, 11:26:16 PM »
Before tonight's game, BP and Cool Standings both gave us a 98% chance of winning the division.

Those are fun to look at in July but mean total dick right now. 


Offline sportsfan882

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #144: September 16, 2012, 11:29:13 PM »
They Braves have played 46 games against their remaining opponents and are 31-15.   I don't think the margin of error is what people are assuming and I don't think it's crazy to raise the red flag.
Yes, Braves have a very favorable schedule.

Marlins (6) (4-2)
Phillies (3) (2-1)
Mets (3) (2-1)
Pirates (3) (2-1)

The Marlins and Mets are terrible and are playing for nothing. The Phillies are sliding out of the WC race and will roll over for Atlanta like they always do. The Pirates have completely sunk in the second half just like they did last year and are a punching bag.

Assuming no sweeps though they are very possible that puts the Braves finishing 10-5 with 94 wins. Nats would have to go 7-9 to clinch the division outright in that case.

Offline DPMOmaha

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #145: September 16, 2012, 11:46:19 PM »
They Braves have played 46 games against their remaining opponents and are 31-15.   I don't think the margin of error is what people are assuming and I don't think it's crazy to raise the red flag.

A month ago, I MIGHT have agreed with you.

Offline sportsfan882

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #146: September 16, 2012, 11:46:56 PM »
Quote
Mark Bowman ‏@mlbbowman
Uggla: "This kind of put us back in the hunt. We’re still going to need some magic. But there’s still time.”

Offline Kevrock

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #147: September 17, 2012, 07:09:50 AM »
They Braves have played 46 games against their remaining opponents and are 31-15.   I don't think the margin of error is what people are assuming and I don't think it's crazy to raise the red flag.

This margin of error you mean?

Nats have 16 left, Braves have 15 left.

  • If Nats go 10-8, Braves would have to go 15-0 to tie the Nats with 99 wins and force a 1 game playoff for the division.
  • If Nats go 8-8, Braves would have to go 13-2 to tie the Nats with 97 wins and force a 1 game playoff for the division.
  • If Nats go 6-10, Braves would have to go 11-4 to tie the Nats with 95 wins and force a 1 game playoff for the division.

If we take care of business it doesn't matter what the Braves do.

Offline comish4lif

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #148: September 17, 2012, 07:30:38 AM »
This margin of error you mean?

If we take care of business it doesn't matter what the Braves do.
That's the point, if had won even 1 game inAtlanta, we'd still be 7.5 up. We didn't take care of business in Atlanta.

Offline Obed_Marsh

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #149: September 17, 2012, 07:31:55 AM »
We're in a hole?

Some people just tumbled down mindfact canyon and lack the wherewithal to pull themselves up by their bootstraps.