Poll

Will the Nats win 100 games?

Yes
36 (67.9%)
No
17 (32.1%)

Total Members Voted: 53

Author Topic: 100 wins watch - now with poll!  (Read 4133 times)

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Offline Bloo

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #25: July 27, 2012, 07:00:39 PM »
They need to go 53-11 to do it.... totally doable, right?!

If you can dream it you can do it!

Offline Slumpbuster

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #26: July 28, 2012, 10:54:52 PM »
Of course we're capable of so much more but I think playing 500. ball the rest of the year will get them in the playoffs, probably not the division though. That would be a bummer to get a wild card and then be one & done.

Offline captkirk42

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #27: August 10, 2012, 11:00:33 AM »
This is starting to look more and more likely. 50 games remain if we only win half of those we are over 90wins at 94. Then it is only 6 more wins to 100. It is very unlikely that we would LOSE ALL 50 or WIN ALL 50.

Our next two series are pretty rough the DBacks and Giants both teams we have had trouble with in the past. Heck we've had trouble with most teams in THE PAST. So it is very possible we could lose both series. Hopefully we will not be swept anymore but this is baseball and like any sport anything is possible that's why you play the games. There are many variables, the pitching match-ups, the health of the team overall, the use of the bullpen, the ballpark, the ballpark temperature during the game, the weather (unless it's a dome with the roof closed) and loads more.


Wins NEEDED to reach 100 wins for the season:
31

Offline Count Walewski

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #28: August 10, 2012, 11:43:24 AM »
There is currently not a single team on pace to win 100 games. The Nats come closest, they are on pace to win 99. Of course, they are coming off a 6 game winning streak and a 4-game series against the worst team in the majors, so this is inflated.

Offline DPMOmaha

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #29: August 10, 2012, 12:43:01 PM »
There is currently not a single team on pace to win 100 games. The Nats come closest, they are on pace to win 99. Of course, they are coming off a 6 game winning streak and a 4-game series against the worst team in the majors, so this is inflated.

How is it inflated?  Every team gets an opportunity to play the Astros.

Online HalfSmokes

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #30: August 10, 2012, 01:18:23 PM »
And immediately coming off those series, you're projection is probably inflated, but with this many games in, it's probably by a minuscule amount

Offline LostYudite

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #31: August 10, 2012, 01:32:55 PM »
I think we're probably going to fall just short - in the 96-98 kind of range.  Between shutting down Stras, messing with the starting rotation, skipping guys to get them rest, we'll probably tail off a few games, unless the Braves are really breathing down our necks.  If the race is tight, I could see Atlanta and us pushing each other to the 98-100 range.  That's still solidly 10 games or more better than I thought they'd do at the beginning of the year.  I was expecting 84-85. 

Offline captkirk42

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #32: August 10, 2012, 01:41:51 PM »
I think we're probably going to fall just short - in the 96-98 kind of range.  Between shutting down Stras, messing with the starting rotation, skipping guys to get them rest, we'll probably tail off a few games, unless the Braves are really breathing down our necks.  If the race is tight, I could see Atlanta and us pushing each other to the 98-100 range.  That's still solidly 10 games or more better than I thought they'd do at the beginning of the year.  I was expecting 84-85.

96 does seem like the probable number of wins. I wouldn't be disappointed with that. At this point the only thing that would disappoint me would be finishing the season under .500 and that doesn't seem likely this year, last year yes this year no. If we had played that one postponed game we probably would have tied the 05 Overachievers.

Offline LostYudite

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #33: August 10, 2012, 01:57:19 PM »
96 does seem like the probable number of wins. I wouldn't be disappointed with that. At this point the only thing that would disappoint me would be finishing the season under .500 and that doesn't seem likely this year, last year yes this year no.

More than doesn't seem likely - at the risk of calling down all kinds of bad luck on this team, it's pretty much impossible that we'd finish .500.  To finish at .500, we'd have to go 12-38, or a .240 winning percentage over that stretch.  That's simply unimaginably bad for a team with this talent.  The feckless Nats teams at one point stood at 9-25 to open 2007, which was a horrible record.  9-25 is a .264 winning percentage.  The Nats simply aren't going to fall that far, even if several major players got injured.  Lannan and Gorz and even Stammen could step in and start and not be THAT bad.

Matter of fact at this point, probably the most pessimistic but not entirely impossible guess would be something like 87 wins or so.  That would be 18-32, which would still be a shockingly bad (.360) almost to the point of unbelieveability stretch - i think it would take a major injury or even two to the starting five to make that a possibility. 

Realistically, this last week has been huge - it's hard to see us ending up under 90-92, which would still have us playing well under .500 from here on out.  .500 lands us at 94.  For the Braves to get to 94, they need to play .600 ball (30-20) the rest of the way.  So far, they've played .576 - so they'd need to accelerate to catch what we would do if we play .500.  I'll say it again - this last week was HUGE.  The Braves need to fear us. 


Online houston-nat

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #34: August 10, 2012, 02:04:51 PM »
The feckless Nats teams at one point stood at 9-25 to open 2007, which was a horrible record.  9-25 is a .264 winning percentage.

Incidentally, the Astros are on a 4-34 run, or .105


Offline Fan037

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #35: August 10, 2012, 03:28:15 PM »
I expect to win every single day the way the Nats are playing.  We probably have the best starting five in baseball.  We have fabulous bats in the line-up.  And when one man is down, another steps in and fills the void admirably.  Also there seems to be a sort of magic in the air - i. e. - things falling our way - like the crazy bunt play and Bernie's phenomenal catch.  All that said, I would expect the win total to be around 98.

Offline tomterp

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #36: August 10, 2012, 06:22:10 PM »
More than doesn't seem likely - at the risk of calling down all kinds of bad luck on this team, blah blah blah

I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that nothing you type on the good ol' WNFF has any bearing on the on-field results.  So go right ahead and speak your piece unencumbered by concern.

Online houston-nat

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #37: August 10, 2012, 07:28:59 PM »
I want them to win 112 so my pre season prediction is correct.

When I first replied, they needed to go 53-11 to do this... now, 43-7. A little bit harder!

Online GMUNat

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #38: August 11, 2012, 12:44:06 AM »
I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that nothing you type on the good ol' WNFF has any bearing on the on-field results.  So go right ahead and speak your piece unencumbered by concern.

what you mean to tell me that SF screaming at players on WNFF doesn't affect the on field product?

Offline Evolution33

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #39: August 11, 2012, 12:01:14 PM »
Wrote about this yesterday http://www.citizensofnatstown.com/home/2012/8/10/riding-that-train.html

I think it is doable but won't be easy, but the city record for wins is 99 by the 1933 Senators, but since that team played less games the Nats would have to win 105 to match the winning percentage. Either way this season has been pretty good so far, and I have enjoyed it.

Offline eddiejc1

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #40: August 12, 2012, 10:15:39 AM »
The Nats' winning streak probably won't last THIS long, but let's say it continues for 11 more games and they are 82-43. There will be 37 games left. Half of 37 is 18.5 and 82+18=100. That means that after that point, if the Nats win about half of their remaining games, they will hit the century mark.

Offline Count Walewski

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #41: August 12, 2012, 10:34:38 AM »
Reality Check: we face two more Dback starters with good ERAs, and then the friggin Giants in SF. This win streak is ending soon and pray to the deity of your choice that we do not go on a big losing streak.

Offline wpa2629

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #42: August 12, 2012, 10:37:59 AM »
Reality Check: we face two more Dback starters with good ERAs, and then the friggin Giants in SF. This win streak is ending soon and pray to the deity of your choice that we do not go on a big losing streak.

LOL


Offline DPMOmaha

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #43: August 12, 2012, 11:30:25 AM »
Reality Check: we face two more Dback starters with good ERAs, and then the friggin Giants in SF. This win streak is ending soon and pray to the deity of your choice that we do not go on a big losing streak.

Remember, the Giants have to try and beat Zim, Gio and Strasburg, too.  There's nothing this team has done this year that indicates to me that a losing stream is likely.

Offline wpa2629

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #44: August 12, 2012, 11:34:56 AM »
Remember, the Giants have to try and beat Zim, Gio and Strasburg, too.  There's nothing this team has done this year that indicates to me that a losing stream is likely.

But the Braves are SWEEPING EVERYONE!


LOL so much :panic:

Offline DPMOmaha

  • Posts: 18268
Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #45: August 12, 2012, 11:36:44 AM »
But the Braves are SWEEPING EVERYONE!


LOL so much :panic:

DOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!

Online blue911

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #46: August 12, 2012, 11:38:24 AM »
DOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!

Well we'll never catch them at this rate.

Offline hammondsnats

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #47: August 12, 2012, 01:48:27 PM »
haha HOF Hogie

Offline Evolution33

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #48: August 12, 2012, 01:59:20 PM »
Reality Check: we face two more Dback starters with good ERAs, and then the friggin Giants in SF. This win streak is ending soon and pray to the deity of your choice that we do not go on a big losing streak.

Two more Diamondback's starters? Are they playing today like a Spring Training game?

Offline Smithian

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Re: 100 wins?
« Reply #49: August 12, 2012, 02:06:22 PM »
Reality Check: we face two more Dback starters with good ERAs, and then the friggin Giants in SF. This win streak is ending soon and pray to the deity of your choice that we do not go on a big losing streak.
Not sure if this is meant in sarcasm.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants have to face the Washington Nationals. Our pitching the best in the majors. We'll be alright. Obviously we'll cool off and there's enough time left in the season we'll hit a rough patch or two, but as long as the Nasty Nats keep winning more than they lose then all is good.

To back up that post, if we went .500 the rest of the way starting today, the Washington Nationals will finish with 95 victories. If the Nats stay on our current season percentage, 100 wins.

The cherry on top is I believe the Nats have more home games down the stretch while the Braves have more road games.

We need to focus on taking care of our business, kicking the Broves butt head to head when we get a chance, and then hope the Reds don't get hot again.

The #1 seed is in our hands. Our destiny is our's. We just have to hold on to the ball and don't fumble this close to the goal line.