Which is why I said the best predictor of future record is the simulation BP uses.
Pythag can too easily be influenced by blowout games.
How many extra games do you think the Rangers picked up on their Pythag the year they put that 30 run beat down on the O's?
I honestly have no idea, but with their pitching staff, I'm sure the '07 Rangers had their share of blowout losses too.
Fair point about BP vs. Pythag, though. I'd trust them or coolstandings too. I just thought you were trying to say that you can't use past performance to predict the future when it's basically all one can use.