Author Topic: The Weather (2012)  (Read 16708 times)

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Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #975: December 19, 2012, 12:18:18 AM »
Looks like winter will go out with a bang; models are shaping up for a massive rain/wind/snow storm hitting the east coast on 12/26 and continuing into 12/27.  However, there's no consensus on what area gets what kind of precipitation.   Still, if you have travel plans for those days, keep your eye on the forecasts.

here's the latest GFS:

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs850mbTSLPp12204.gif

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #976: December 19, 2012, 12:22:46 AM »
Sumnag, that flashing that Sandy freaked up will need some love before we get snow.  Anyone ever try that rubber spray that gets advertised on low-rent daytime trash TV? 

Offline Nathan

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #977: December 19, 2012, 12:39:08 AM »
My dad loves it.

Online JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #978: December 19, 2012, 08:52:02 AM »
Looks like winter will go out with a bang; models are shaping up for a massive rain/wind/snow storm hitting the east coast on 12/26 and continuing into 12/27.  However, there's no consensus on what area gets what kind of precipitation.   Still, if you have travel plans for those days, keep your eye on the forecasts.

here's the latest GFS:

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/00zgfs850mbTSLPp12204.gif
Darn it.  I drive north for a week and a half and have to park outside. 

this trip is usually a nag, but I do it to drive my Dad up to my brother's for Christmas (I'd prefer chinese or deli and a movie).  I've had my windshield spray freeze up at night in sleet on the mass pike at the end of the trip.  My car does not like being outside in the cold.  Absolute worse time of the year to be committed to going to metro boston.

Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #979: December 20, 2012, 09:18:47 AM »
and here we go...

weatherboy weather:

Quote
A vigorous storm system will push into the northeast this Friday, bringing bad weather to portions hit hard by Hurricane Sandy ...and setting the stage for interesting weather during Christmas week. A low pressure system will move well west from the ocean, bringing milder air and moderate to heavy rainfall into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast on Friday. Along the coast, around eastern New Jersey and especially southern Long Island, winds and rains could be especially strong/heavy. Precipitation will gradually come to an end late at night as cold air rushes in on the backside of the system. Some snow showers are possible throughout this area late Friday and Saturday as cold, breezy conditions arrive. The exact track and intensity of this storm system will help set-up the stage for next week's main action. While a somewhat weak system may bring light snow to portions of the northern Mid Atlantic area on Christmas Eve/Day, a more significant/substantial storm looks to impact the region just after Christmas. How things evolve after Friday's storm will help determine weather the Mid Atlantic and Northeast sees heavy snow, rain, or ice during the middle part of next week.

The GFS is currently showing a significant ice event for D.C./Va, with snow from Baltimore north, but it is still "way" to early to have any faith.

For those of you on facebook, https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk?ref=stream is worth following.

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #980: December 20, 2012, 10:13:56 AM »
Bring it.  I just need to find some of that aerosol rubber stuff first.

Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #981: December 20, 2012, 11:55:07 AM »

Online JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #982: December 20, 2012, 04:14:22 PM »
f'this.  F'this big time.  3 f'ng storms in a week and half for me to drive through.  Spamtrack and the midnight express are looking even better. 

i'll drive up Saturday 12/22, if there is still a world, and I could probably come back 12/30 or 12/31 to beat the last storm.

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #983: December 20, 2012, 05:24:36 PM »
high wind warnings kick in Saturday, though winds will start ramping up tonight.  It's going to be a wild ride over the next week and a half.

Offline Slateman

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #984: December 20, 2012, 06:42:07 PM »
high wind warnings kick in Saturday, though winds will start ramping up tonight.  It's going to be a wild ride over the next week and a half.





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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #985: December 20, 2012, 09:18:01 PM »

Online tomterp

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #986: December 20, 2012, 09:24:30 PM »
f'this.  F'this big time.  3 f'ng storms in a week and half for me to drive through.  Spamtrack and the midnight express are looking even better. 

i'll drive up Saturday 12/22, if there is still a world, and I could probably come back 12/30 or 12/31 to beat the last storm.


Gonna be nasty down in Charleston SC next week too, some days barely making it to the upper 60's.  I hate having to wear a sweater while drinking outside at Red's.


Offline comish4lif

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #987: December 20, 2012, 10:48:28 PM »
high wind warnings kick in Saturday, though winds will start ramping up tonight.  It's going to be a wild ride over the next week and a half.
good weather for kiting? 25MPH too much for a kite?

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #988: December 20, 2012, 10:57:04 PM »
Nice town, other than all those idiots who parade around in grey period costume.

Gonna be nasty down in Charleston SC next week too, some days barely making it to the upper 60's.  I hate having to wear a sweater while drinking outside at Red's.

(Image removed from quote.)

Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #989: December 20, 2012, 11:26:18 PM »
Gonna be nasty down in Charleston SC next week too, some days barely making it to the upper 60's.  I hate having to wear a sweater while drinking outside at Red's.

(Image removed from quote.)


what part of town is Red's in?  we were there for spring break with the kids a few years ago, we absolutely loved the place.

Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #990: December 20, 2012, 11:34:44 PM »
wxrisk says chances are increasing for a big ice storm on the 26-27th in the D.C./Va area.  He's usually pretty accurate and absolutely nailed sandy days before anyone else.

Quote
OzGfs coming in as 12z. ... Or MIDDAY THURSDAY run dud... Low tracking Further south... Shows LOTS of cold air damming over western nc wester and central VA into md... Thus run through 132 hrs is screaming ice storm for THOSE areas... By 144 hrs. ..7pm DEC26... the ice is over in va and itvall rain over VA.... Into central and eastern MD and se pa and s NJ

Online HalfSmokes

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #991: December 21, 2012, 04:03:08 AM »
Time to listen to Tony tomorrow- sheehan is the local guy I trust the most

Online tomterp

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #992: December 21, 2012, 08:10:10 AM »
Nice town, other than all those idiots who parade around in grey period costume.

Catering to the yankee tourists    :money:

Online tomterp

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #993: December 21, 2012, 08:12:32 AM »
what part of town is Red's in?  we were there for spring break with the kids a few years ago, we absolutely loved the place.

It's actually located on Shem Creek in Mount Pleasant, just across the Cooper River Bridge from Charleston.  Between Reds and Poe's (on Sullivan's Island), I never seem to make it to downtown Charleston itself. 

Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #994: December 21, 2012, 08:43:06 AM »
It's actually located on Shem Creek in Mount Pleasant, just across the Cooper River Bridge from Charleston.  Between Reds and Poe's (on Sullivan's Island), I never seem to make it to downtown Charleston itself. 

thanks.  We had lunch at Poes, fun place.

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #995: December 21, 2012, 08:44:31 AM »
Catering to the yankee tourists    :money:

we visited the H.L. Hunley restoration site/museum when were in the area.  The curator gave my kids quarters that had the back seal etched off and replaced with a confederate flag.  I S you not.

Online tomterp

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #996: December 21, 2012, 08:48:54 AM »
thanks.  We had lunch at Poes, fun place.

Last time down there my son and I bicycled to Poe's from Mount Pleasant.  Got a lift back however, not safe to drink and cycle.  They even had a Dogfish Head on tap among their other selections like "Palmetto Ale". 

Offline Ali the Baseball Cat

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #997: December 21, 2012, 09:24:12 AM »
Isn't defacing currency illegal?  I guess the rest stops on the NJ Turnpike all have those penny crushers...but that's not quite the same.. 

we visited the H.L. Hunley restoration site/museum when were in the area.  The curator gave my kids quarters that had the back seal etched off and replaced with a confederate flag.  I S you not.

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #998: December 21, 2012, 01:01:25 PM »
Isn't defacing currency illegal?  I guess the rest stops on the NJ Turnpike all have those penny crushers...but that's not quite the same.. 


if you don't believe in the legitimacy of the federal government, then it's no big deal to deface the currency. :)

Online imref

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Re: The Weather (2012)
« Reply #999: December 21, 2012, 01:06:40 PM »
latest gfs according to wxrisk.com on the 26-27 event.

Also, models suggesting a big nor'easter for the 1st, snow from DC northward.

Quote
‎*** ALERT *** 12z FRIDAY RUN OF THE GFS MODEL DOES NOT BACK OFF... THIS model runs says :

INLAND ICE EVENT /STORM for western and nw VA into central MD ... changes to rain but heavy ice Build up is POSSIBLE DEC 26... ice to Rain over central NC central VA into Lower MD eastern shore into S NJ

heavy Ice snows for far nw 25% of VA... BIG SNOWS for IND much of OH.. snow to Rain for WVA