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What are they expecting the winds to be when it makes landfall? Best I could find reading three differenr articles was turning into a Nor'Easter without indication of winds. From what I read it was so vague as to possibly make landfall with 30mph winds or 300mph winds (meaning they gave zero idea, not that 300mph winds would be possible.) Seems the thing they're most hyping is the full moon and resultant flooding. I've always wondered how NYC would fare with a Category 3 or better storm. Obviously windows shattered and flying shrapnel would result in incredible death tolls, but I wonder how some of the older buildings would do. Not that this storm is going to do that - sounds like it'll either be us/DelMarVa or Mass. and Maine. Or simply out to sea. At least with the WS in SF on Sat-Mon and not returning to Detroit until Wednesday the impact there will be minimal to nada.
Let me repeat that. Not a single one of the new hurricane models show sandy going out to sea without making an impact on land. WELCOME TO 5 DAYS AGO. But in addition there is a cluster of tracks showing a land fall in the Delmarva which again identical to the tracks shown by the 0z European model the 0z navy model and the 0z GFDL. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? The threat to the Middle Atlantic Coast is increasing. The media coverage should begin to really ramp up here today as the hurricane models are now shifted all towards the coast. This remains a unusual event not only because it's late October but because SANDY m is going to turn sharply to northwest then west northwest as it strikes the coast. I think .. but I do not know for sure yet-- think it's going to strike on the Delmarva but there still a lot of variability here and it's possible that SANDY could make landfall in New Jersey or even New York City or Long Island. Assuming that it does make landfall in the Delmarva --- the lower Maryland Eastern shore and Delaware peninsula for those of you who are geographically deprived -- that area can expect conditions at least as bad as what you saw with Isabel in 2003 and probably worse. Areas such as Ocean City Maryland Cape May New Jersey wallops island Virginia could take a devastating hit. The approach of the coast from the southwest of the northeast will drive a wall of water into the entire Delmarva region as well as Southern New Jersey and Hampton roads.... and to a lesser degree over northeastern North Carolina Northern New Jersey and New York City Long Island. The full Moon on the 29th is going to make things particularly bad and damaging along the coast with the storm tide. Winds could cost up to 90 mph in many locations This also is a serious threat for the northern neck of Virginia as well as the wash DC Baltimore metro area and all of eastern Virginia including Hampton roads and Richmond. In all of these areas winds could reach up to 75 miles per hour in gusts during the height of the storm which will be fairly prolonged. The rainfall amounts will be at least 5 to 10 inches and these areas. Significant rain and wind will push into all of Virginia and the interior portions of northeastern North Carolina as well as all of Maryland New Jersey and Pennsylvania. The snowstorm potential here remains high especially in the elevation above 800 or 1000 feet. It is still too early to know which portion of the interior Middle Atlantic mountain areas are going to see the heavy snow but somebody is gonna get really crushed with an early season snowfall. If the European navy and GFDL track are correct there will be snow showers throughout much of Central Virginia including the Richmond area on October 30-31.
Snowfall in richmond? Trick or treat, Linty / Chief.It's not that I wish this on anyone, but isn't the middle of Long Island about the safest place on the coast for something like this to land? big, long wide barrier island with the surge side to the east, avoiding the big surge in Narragansett or Buzzards Bay? There's some old, spectacular photos of the Hurricane of 1938 that clobbered Providence. providence is at the head of narragansett bay, so a storm surge gets funneled into it. sounds like Old Town Alexandria could be in for a double hit between surge and rain drainage.
* Rain likely begins Sunday morning and increases in intensity during the day. Winds also gradually pick up, becoming very gusty by evening.* The heaviest rain and strongest winds occur late Sunday night into Monday afternoon, with widespread power outages. Peak sustained winds from 50-70 mph and gusts over 75 mph possible.* Winds remain strong into Tuesday, gusting over 40 mph frequently.* Rain and wind slowly taper off Tuesday or early Wednesday.* Rainfall totals of at least 4-8”. Widespread flooding occurs in low lying areas and creeks/streams.* Severe, possible historic coastal flooding for Maryland, Delaware beaches.* Crippling snow possible at high elevations of western Maryland and eastern West Virginia, possibly 6-12” or more with tree damage, power outages.
Damn, getting to class on Monday is going to be a nag... might skip but I have to turn in homework by hand hopefully they'll call off classes if it gets as bad as predicted.
Snowball fight South Chapel Lawn, then break a few windows down on Frat row before adjourning to one of the fine Rte. 1 libation establishments. Life could be worse.
I was thinking it would rain. I don't have snow clothes here right now, going to need to buy gloves.
That comment reminds me of a classmate of mine in law school who was wearing a windbreaker around during the so-called Blizzard of 1996. When I asked her why she wasn't wearing a warmer coat, she said that because she was from Connecticut she felt winter clothing should not be necessary in North Carolina and so she hadn't brought any.
Was she blonde?
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