Author Topic: MLB & Division Watching (2011)  (Read 43529 times)

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Offline tomterp

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #100: February 21, 2011, 09:55:44 AM »
I've seen people projecting them with a win total in the high '80s and low '90s - that's surprising to me.  With 4 pitchers like they have, 95 wins should be reasonable.

But then, they're all on the older side except for Hamels.  And their core position players are older and injury-prone, too.  It may be within the realm of possibility that they don't live up expectations and maybe even come in 2nd to the Braves in the EAst. 

Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections have them going 91-71.  Nats last in the division at 70-92.

 :?

Offline Lintyfresh85

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #101: February 21, 2011, 09:59:05 AM »
What was their prediction on the Nats last year?

I seemed to remember them being quite bullish, right?

Offline tomterp

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #102: February 21, 2011, 12:52:54 PM »
What was their prediction on the Nats last year?

I seemed to remember them being quite bullish, right?

I can't remember, but they underperformed.  At least partly attributable to the Riggleman effect.

Offline houston-nat

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #103: February 21, 2011, 01:07:29 PM »
They projected 72 wins last year and we got 69.
So projecting 70 this year is really negative.

Offline Lintyfresh85

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #104: February 21, 2011, 01:24:52 PM »
I can't remember, but they underperformed.  At least partly attributable to the Riggleman effect.

You know you suck at your job when then have a phrase for your ineptitude.

Offline tomterp

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #105: February 21, 2011, 01:32:54 PM »
They projected 72 wins last year and we got 69.
So projecting 70 this year is really negative.
  While on the negativity topic....


http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12973

Quote
Washington Nationals: 70-92 projected 2011 record

Why They Might Win: The Nats won’t win in the classical sense, but they can achieve a victory of sorts by not losing the services of any more young pitchers to injury while waiting for Stephen Strasburg to make a triumphant return and lead the team to contention down the road.

Why They Might Not Win: Unfortunately, there’s little uncertainty here; the Nats are projected to allow far more and score far fewer runs than any other team in the division. Jordan Zimmermann is the only potential bright spot in an otherwise lackluster rotation, and Jayson Werth and Ryan Zimmerman alone do not a productive lineup make.

Player Who Could Surprise: Catcher Jesus Flores lost last season to labrum surgery following an injury-plagued 2009, but was last seen posting an 877 OPS in limited action. Now healthy, the 26-year-old is back in Nats camp and poised to bounce back. PECOTA foresees a modest .249/.312/.394 performance, but even that would be a significant improvement over 39-year-old starter Ivan Rodriguez’s projected .246/.274/.337 line.

Player Who Could Disappoint: Jayson Werth’s restored facial hair won’t disappoint, but his bat might lose some of its luster away from Citizens Bank Park. PECOTA thinks a .266/.363/.471 triple-slash line is in store; while that’s useful, it doesn’t scream “franchise player” quite as loudly as a seven-year, $126-million contract.


Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #106: February 22, 2011, 03:01:28 PM »
I hear Cliff Lee has already started to feel some sort of strain in his side. Not supposed to be big, but would Philly ever let on if it was?

tried lifting his wallet.

Offline imref

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #107: February 24, 2011, 11:23:45 PM »
Selig turned down a plan that would have had Fox Sports loaning the LA Dodgers $200 million, secured by future TV rights.

http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-dodgers-fox-20110225,0,7361725.story


Offline imref

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #108: February 26, 2011, 12:25:33 AM »
MLB loaned the Mets $25 million in November to cover operating expenses, that club is a complete mess. 

Offline HalfSmokes

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #109: February 26, 2011, 01:49:41 AM »
They get $25 million, we couldn't even get the MLB to allow september callups, freak you selig

Offline Coladar

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #110: February 26, 2011, 02:13:36 AM »
Chad Durbin officially signs with Manny Acta's AAAA team, the Indians. They plan on using him out of the bullpen.

Quite frankly, I'm shocked Millwood is still on the market. I was dead certain that he'd get signed this week by the Cardinals after the Wainwright apocalypse. It'll be interesting to see just how long he remains on the market with quite a few teams still in need of SP. Personally, I think it's a huge mistake on St. Louis' part to let him go after losing their ace. Then again, the fact there was any talk at all of them trading Carpenter after Wainwright went down, even if it never would have happened, means I don't get where St. Louis' head is at at all right now post-Wainwright and considering the Pujols' situation.

Offline Coladar

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #111: February 26, 2011, 04:08:12 AM »
The Pirates have found the key to success and a way to end their million year streak without a winning season!

http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/boxscore?gameId=310225123&teams=manatee-cc-manatees-vs-pittsburgh-pirates

Play community college teams!!! 21-1! 4 hits to 20 hits! One more run scored than hits! So with eight walks, they scored every runner save seven. Lasting only seven innings, I'm guessing a mercy rule of some kind factored into it?

Online blue911

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #112: February 26, 2011, 09:23:49 AM »
MLB loaned the Mets $25 million in November to cover operating expenses, that club is a complete mess. 

That was on top of the $75M line of credit they have exhausted.

Offline PANatsFan

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #113: February 26, 2011, 09:54:17 AM »
That was on top of the $75M line of credit they have exhausted.

A whole years payroll? Sheesh.

Online blue911

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #114: February 26, 2011, 10:06:30 AM »
A whole years payroll? Sheesh.

They are also $400M in debt. Dream Big, Omar. Dream Big.

Offline PANatsFan

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #115: February 26, 2011, 10:15:16 AM »
They are also $400M in debt. Dream Big, Omar. Dream Big.

Skippy Onley says they are signing Pujols, it must be true. They will pay him in stock in MadoffCorp

Offline Lintyfresh85

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #116: March 01, 2011, 02:35:28 PM »
Wow.

Quote
BJRains
 
Chris Carpenter just walked off the field injured with the trainer. He is done for the day. Not good news for the Cardinals.


Offline Tyler Durden

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #118: March 01, 2011, 02:54:56 PM »
whoa.  cards are in a world of hurt unless they trade for Jason Marquis.

Offline Nathan

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #119: March 01, 2011, 05:12:03 PM »
whoa.  cards are in a world of hurt unless they trade for Jason Marquis.
Marquis for Pujols.

Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #120: March 01, 2011, 05:25:21 PM »
Marquis for Pujols.
Don't you just love dropping the Cardinals' first baseman's name in some random conversation in public when you are not surrounded by people who know baseball?  "I'd love for us to find Pujols near the Navy Yard some night."  Just to see the reaction.

Offline Nathan

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #121: March 01, 2011, 05:29:30 PM »
About as much as standing in the middle of a crowded grocery store and my 50+yo friend asks me if I want to go cornhole later that night (I'm 26).

Online blue911

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #122: March 01, 2011, 11:42:35 PM »
Quote
The Orioles' farm system lacks depth, especially in comparison to its AL East rivals, writes FOXSports.com's Ken Rosenthal.  "The team’s offseason moves...represent nothing more than a Band-Aid," Rosenthal says, noting that the O's "are practically a zero" when it comes to international scouting.  MLBTR's Tim Dierkes examined these issues in his offseason-in-review piece about Baltimore earlier today.



Offline Tyler Durden

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #123: March 02, 2011, 08:21:58 AM »
Crap I put this in the 2010 section so I'm pasting it in 2011:

http://www.masnsports.com/byron_kerr/2011/03/phillies-preview-utley-injury-early-concern.html

Here's an article on the Phillies from Byron Kerr.  Talks about Dominic Brown going 0-9 so far this spring with 6 strikeouts which truly warms my heart.  Also talks about a potential chronic knee issue for Utley.

The Phils may be ripe for a letdown this season despite the 4 aces.  I thought they'd easily win 95+ but now I"m not quite as sure.  Rollins, Utley, and Ramirez are all showing signs of age and Howard can't do it by himself.

Offline Tyler Durden

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Re: MLB & Division Watching (2011)
« Reply #124: March 02, 2011, 01:47:08 PM »
What's up with TEx dropping Boras?  That's weird.  And it's weird timing.  Is this one domino in the Pujols saga?