Author Topic: Follow The Prospects: Stephen Lombardozzi Jr, 2B (Read 22429 times)

JMUalumni · « **Reply #25:** May 02, 2011, 10:44:00 AM »

Last ten games: .342/.444/.579

Flashing some good speed so far this year, after getting CS in 1/3 of his attempts last year. Is 5 for 5 in SBA and already has 3 triples to his name for the season.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #26:** May 02, 2011, 12:45:32 PM »

posted in the "Worst offense" thread:

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on May 01, 2011, 06:37:54 PM

For fun, using this Major league equivalency calculator,Lombardozzi's AA line translates for Washington as:

.236 / .284 /.336, 20/83, 6BB /12K, 1 HR 7 RBI.

That was after 81 ABs. NJ / JMU - what do you think of these equivalency calculators?

houston-nat · « **Reply #27:** May 02, 2011, 12:47:47 PM »

So basically, Lombardozzi = Desmond

JMUalumni · « **Reply #28:** May 02, 2011, 12:53:43 PM »

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on May 02, 2011, 12:45:32 PM

posted in the "Worst offense" thread:
That was after 81 ABs. NJ / JMU - what do you think of these equivalency calculators?

Interesting to look at, but I'm not sure how much weight it carries. If anything, it probably fails to account for growth in a player, both physically and skill wise, and is most likely a representation of how a player would perform in the MLB if called up at this exact moment. For instance, Espinosa's MLE for his Harrisburg year would have resulted in a .205/.253/.348 slash line.

UMDNats · « **Reply #29:** May 02, 2011, 01:49:50 PM »

Definitely a fan of this kid. Hoping he's up here this year.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #30:** May 02, 2011, 02:01:28 PM »

Quote from: JMUalumni on May 02, 2011, 12:53:43 PM

Interesting to look at, but I'm not sure how much weight it carries. If anything, it probably fails to account for growth in a player, both physically and skill wise, and is most likely a representation of how a player would perform in the MLB if called up at this exact moment. For instance, Espinosa's MLE for his Harrisburg year would have resulted in a .205/.253/.348 slash line.

This is right. It's less a projection of what he can become than a mythical magic transplant into the majors from the start of the season. To the extent that it is a measure of his skills right now, it seems promising. We can hope for growth. It's also kind of neat to think that we don't need him in the majors right now and can let him develop. We've not been in that position for some guys that have gotten squeezed out of options, like the Castos and the Maxwells in the past.

hammondsnats · « **Reply #31:** May 20, 2011, 02:27:00 AM »

this kid screams dustin pedroia, but without the power.

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #32:** June 03, 2011, 09:24:56 AM »

By the numbers, it looks like he has changed his plate approach. He's gone from nearly a 1:1.25 BB/K rate to 1:3, and his BB rate is down to about 5% of PAs. Still running well, but he's dropped from the steady .370+ OBP he's had all the way up to .344. The power continues to improve (.444 SLG). with 18 XBH in 198 ABs, but it looks like he's gotten a little slappy the last 10 games. Anyone know what is going on?

NJ Ave · « **Reply #33:** June 03, 2011, 10:12:09 AM »

Not the same player, obviously, but Danny Espinosa went .264/.375/.460 as a 22-year old in Potomac and .262/.334/.464 the next year in Harrisburg.

I think it's a quantum leap forward when the pitchers start being able to locate all their pitches within the strike zone. It's one thing lay off balls outside the strike zone, it's another thing to be selective within the strike zone. Since he seems to make pretty good contact, maybe he's simply making contact earlier in counts, now that the pitchers are throwing more inside the zone?

Either way, I'm not worried as long as he continues to make good contact and hit for the same power. That means he's still being selective and hitting the strikes he wants to hit, rather than making weak contact on pitcher's pitches.

Lintyfresh85 · « **Reply #34:** June 03, 2011, 11:34:50 AM »

wOBA in A+ ball in 2010 - .356
wOBA in AA ball in 2011 - .374

So, the slightly high strike out, lower walk, more power approach seems to be working.

UMDNats · « **Reply #35:** June 03, 2011, 11:39:42 AM »

Sadly I feel like the organization is too in love with Desmond to give this kid any real chance here.

Lintyfresh85 · « **Reply #36:** June 03, 2011, 11:40:54 AM »

Quote from: UMDNats on June 03, 2011, 11:39:42 AM

Sadly I feel like the organization is too in love with Desmond to give this kid any real chance here.

Agreed.

Still not sure behind the rationale to trade Danny before Desmond... but that's what Rizzo wanted.

Edit: Wow, I wasn't even aware that Danny is a year and a half younger than Desmond. I thought for sure he was older!

hammondsnats · « **Reply #37:** June 03, 2011, 11:50:10 AM »

good to see lombo kick ass. let's hope he keeps it up, if he does, maybe a september call up?

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #38:** June 11, 2011, 08:56:31 AM »

Updated stat line this AM (thru 6/10), courtesy of http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=&sid=t547&t=p_pbp&pid=543459:

230 AB in 57 games
.309 / .363 / .439, 3 HR (18 XBH), 13 SB (2 CS), 37 K, 14 BB.

Last 10 (42 AB)
.405 / .457 / .476, 1 HR (1 XBH), 2 SB (2 CS), 4 K, 3 BB.

The walk to K ratio is back in the old ball park of prior years, but it looks like he's going through a contact-heavy, balls dropping in for singles approach to jack up his avg and OBP. The ISO growth he showed in his first few months at Harrisburg has stopped. Sacrificing power and relying on contact rather than strike-zone judgment to cut back on Ks.

I hate to sound negative when I see .933 OPS out of 2d baseman. He may just be in a zone where no AA pitcher can get anything within 3 inches of the plate by him.

HalfSmokes · « **Reply #39:** June 11, 2011, 09:19:13 AM »

if you were hitting .405 would you bother trying to take walks?

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #40:** June 11, 2011, 11:39:38 AM »

Reminds of the joke about the guy who fell off the top of the Empire State Building. Someone on the 70th floor saw him and asked, "how's it going?" As fell, the guy shouted back, "so far, so good."

The .405 is great, and maybe it is just he is in Vladi Guerrero mode and hitting perfectly placed balls on autopilot (without Vladi's power). Reminds me a bit of Desmond's 2009 in AA and AAA. Question is, is he progressing towards being the MLB leadoff hitter who we hoped for?

sportsfan882 · « **Reply #41:** June 11, 2011, 11:46:01 AM »

Scouts still doubt him heavily. Most still just see him as a Utility guy. I don't get it.

Tyler Durden · « **Reply #42:** June 11, 2011, 12:43:28 PM »

even if that drops to a .300 average and .350 OBP, that's miles ahead of what we're getting right now from the leadoff spot. If Espinosa can play SS and Lombo can play 2B, maybe that's what we should go with. Probably wouldn't pull the trigger until the offseason, though. It would leave us SOL if that arrangement doesn't work and now you've f'd with all of Desmond, Espinosa, and Lombo.

HalfSmokes · « **Reply #43:** June 11, 2011, 03:44:12 PM »

Quote from: JCA-CrystalCity on June 11, 2011, 11:39:38 AM

Reminds of the joke about the guy who fell off the top of the Empire State Building. Someone on the 70th floor saw him and asked, "how's it going?" As fell, the guy shouted back, "so far, so good."

The .405 is great, and maybe it is just he is in Vladi Guerrero mode and hitting perfectly placed balls on autopilot (without Vladi's power). Reminds me a bit of Desmond's 2009 in AA and AAA. Question is, is he progressing towards being the MLB leadoff hitter who we hoped for?

my hope is that he's swinging at everything because he's making contact and will adjust if he starts king more. If he just makes solid contact, there is nothing wrong with being like a Cano or a Kendrick- lots of contact, low k and bb rates

sportsfan882 · « **Reply #44:** June 11, 2011, 09:44:00 PM »

Lombo with a HR and Double tonight to appease JCA

This kid needs to be in AAA

JCA-CrystalCity · « **Reply #45:** June 11, 2011, 10:21:36 PM »

Quote from: sportsfan882 on June 11, 2011, 09:44:00 PM

Lombo with a HR and Double tonight to appease JCA

This kid needs to be in AAA

I want walks! enough of the HR stuff.

daggerrrrrr · « **Reply #46:** June 13, 2011, 01:55:24 PM »

Steve Lombardozzi was named EL player of the week for June 6-12 http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/pow/index.jsp He's getting better each year, and it's scary. .319BA,.371OBP,.460SLG,237AB I just have one ? How good will this guy be when he's done developing?

hammondsnats · « **Reply #47:** June 13, 2011, 02:10:52 PM »

Quote from: daggerrrrrr on June 13, 2011, 01:55:24 PM

Steve Lombardozzi was named EL player of the week for June 6-12 http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/pow/index.jsp He's getting better each year, and it's scary. .319BA,.371OBP,.460SLG,237AB I just have one ? How good will this guy be when he's done developing?

but scouts say he's just a super utility player

this kid sounds like the real deal.

Lintyfresh85 · « **Reply #48:** June 13, 2011, 02:19:13 PM »

The scouts say super utility for two reasons.

1. He's not a big athletic type... so that automatically puts him in the wrong with scouts.

2. He doesn't have one specific tool that says "star". He does everything well, but nothing off the charts great

Thus, scouts will put him in the "super utility" role.

daggerrrrrr · « **Reply #49:** June 13, 2011, 02:52:06 PM »

Why do you have to have one tool that says Star? Why can't he just be an average 2B(not a Star and not a utility player)? I'm not looking for him to be a Star, but i am looking for him to be a every day player.