Was surfing the net this morning when I cam upon an article from John Dewan about how players that post monster ST stats have a 60% chance of having a better than career average year.... His qualification for the stat was that the player has to of had at least 200 at bats in his career, and 40 in the current ST. He also has to post a SLG% .200 higher than his career average.
Here's the list for 2010. A lot of hits for such an obscure observation.http://actasports.com/sow.php?id=243Possible Breakout Players
Slugging Percentage 200+ points better in Spring Training Jose Bautista, Blue Jays - Currently co-leads MLB with 14 HR's and is slugging a whopping .566
Mitch Maier, Royals - Not doing much, but his OPS is the highest of his career at .691Ryan Zimmerman, Nationals - Zimm is sporting a .951 OPS and the highest SLG% of his career at .579 Colby Rasmus, Cardinals - His .915 OPS is .201 points higher than last year. SLG% of .531
Jerry Hairston, Padres - Down year. Miss.
Delwyn Young, Pirates - Hasn't played enough to make an impact.
Conor Jackson, Diamondbacks - Injured most of the year. (What else is new)
Troy Tulowitzki, Rockies - Currently boasting his second best OPS of his career at .845
Hunter Pence, Astros - Started off slow, but is coming along. I'll count it as a miss.
Gregg Zaun, Brewers - Miss. Although, his OPS is higher than his career average.
Aaron Rowand, Giants - Hurt most of the year. Miss.Nelson Cruz, Rangers - Big time hit. SLG .735... an OPS some guys would love to have. OPS of 1.154
Justin Upton, Diamondbacks - Terrible start to the year... but coming on. Miss.
Will Venable, Padres - Miss.Alberto Callaspo, Royals - Highest SLG and OPS of his career so far. Hit.
John Bowker, Giants - Miss. Bowker got his chances but didn't make anything of them.Mike Aviles, Royals - Career highs in SLG (.486) and OPS (.842) so far.
Mark Kotsay, White Sox - Miss.
Pretty interesting list... and I'm surprised that it had as many "hits" as it did. Great calls on Bautista, Cruz, Rasmus and Zimm.