Author Topic: Nationals @ Mets, Game 2  (Read 14838 times)

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Offline JCA-CrystalCity

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Re: Nationals @ Mets, Game 2
« Reply #25: May 11, 2010, 05:27:10 PM »
I know what the book says, but no sane person can be convinced that Willy Taveras and his .263 average vs LHP should be hitting in the 3 spot. Clearly there is some majorly flawed logic in there somewhere.
It's not logic. It's a statistical model.  GIGO.  I've played with a line up tool, too, from Baseball Musings.  Unless the one Sal is using is different, it only looks at OBP and SLG.  Does not account for base running.  Also, career averages may be worse than a good projection system. I care less about Pudge's power in the 1990s now that he is has changed his batting style to emphasize contact.  Similarly, I don't care about what Guz did against LHP before his Lasik surgery.  Kind of GMU's point about why Guz is in rather than Kennedy.  Finally, I never thought of Dunn as having bad platoon splits. I can't figure how he ended up 7th.