Author Topic: Gameday Thread: Nationals vs Marlins, Game 1 (L)  (Read 8881 times)

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Offline tomterp

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Quote from: "nats2playoffs"
Quote from: "tomterp"
Bases loaded, one out.  Expected runs - 1.5946

We've left 10 on base, from 9 hits.  What's the projection for the game?
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I haven't gotten that far in the book yet!  I am looking at a couple of tables, one is expected runs given any situation in an inning, and the other is your probability of scoring 1 or more runs, given a situation in an inning.

They have a table on game situations, probably very similar to the Post game tracker probability projections.  Has anybody gotten that thing to refresh during games?