They Braves have played 46 games against their remaining opponents and are 31-15. I don't think the margin of error is what people are assuming and I don't think it's crazy to raise the red flag.
This margin of error you mean?
Nats have 16 left, Braves have 15 left.
- If Nats go 10-8, Braves would have to go 15-0 to tie the Nats with 99 wins and force a 1 game playoff for the division.
- If Nats go 8-8, Braves would have to go 13-2 to tie the Nats with 97 wins and force a 1 game playoff for the division.
- If Nats go 6-10, Braves would have to go 11-4 to tie the Nats with 95 wins and force a 1 game playoff for the division.
If we take care of business it doesn't matter what the Braves do.