Brian's a skeptic about teams forfeiting picks, so it probably is useless speculation on my part. He suggests a way to find an additional $1.5MM by shorting some of the other picks, which would get the bonus up in the $3.5MM range. So, if they were OK with losing a pick, perhaps even $4MM could be put together. Given the injury risk, that seems too much. Crow money might be realistic.
I wonder which would be more harmful -- losing one first round pick or going signability for a ton of our picks this year.