Author Topic: Can we step back from the ledge, please?  (Read 13747 times)

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Offline Mathguy

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Re: Can we step back from the ledge, please?
« Reply #100: August 13, 2012, 12:51:04 PM »
Statistically, baseball games are independant events.  The result of prior game(s) don't have any impact on the odds of winning the next game.

It's only the silly superstitious worries in some people that make them think there is an impact.


Oh, I totally agree with you.  But SF honestly believes, as many do, that from a pure mathematical standpoint that past events have an impact on future events, and it would be a disservice to readers to allow the myth to be perpetuated.

If you want to say the Nats are likely to lose a game because Detwiler's puking and the bullpen is tired, have at it.  Just don't say we're "due", because we've won so many in a row.  That's simply not correct.