Where exactly did you come up with Tejada's true talent? What you are doing is completely wrong mathematically?
I'm, uh, not sure you followed my post. I was given Tejada's current BABIP and was told that it was not likely to regress much because he would always have a high BABIP. I then did the math and pointed out that if this was going to be his true talent (career average) he would have to be a phenomenally great hitter--best of all time type great. In fact, he would have to lose over .30 points to get to Ichiro's BABIP--one of the greatest BABIP talents of all time. I concluded that this was probably NOT his true talent and he was likely to regress. Since I didn't make any mathematical errors or jump to any unreasonable conclusions, I'm not really sure where you're getting this from.
