Kasten has repeatedly said that 1 or 2 out of 10 pitching prospects might actually end up being of MLB caliber. That comes from many years of experience. If that's the case, a fair trade might consist of 5 or 10 prospects in exchange for 1 proven MLB player. That way, you have probably traded one MLB player to get another one, along with a lot of junk.Jonny Gomes
has replaced Elijah Dukes
at Tampa Bay, and Gomes is outperforming him in most hitting categories, based on equivalent ABs. Gomes' BA is 56 points higher and is on pace to hit the same number of homers if he had the same number of ABs as Dukes. There are all sorts of prospects who lots of people think are future stars, but then it just doesn't happen.Lastings Milledge
hasn't demonstrated in either AAA or MLB that he'd be substantially better than Brandon Watson
. I don't think many people in this Forum would trade Rauch or Cordero to get a Watson.